Weekly Weather Outlook for Belize, Jan. 30 – Feb. 6

Tuesday, January 31st, 2012

Valid Time: Monday, Jan. 30, 2012 until Monday, Feb. 6, 2012

Feature(s) of Interest:

A moist north-easterly to easterly airflow will prevail across the western and NW Caribbean during most of the working week, favouring mostly coastal showers, some heavy at times. The unstable conditions will persist over the coming weekend and will become much more conducive for showers in advance of another cold front moving towards the Yucatan Peninsula on Sunday and Monday of next week.

We can therefore expect the weather to continue generally cool and fair with cloudy spells accompanying some showers, especially over the sea, the central coast and the hills through Thursday. The showery weather will increase on Friday through Monday, as the airflow shifts to the NNE and advect more moisture. Showers will then spread over most areas.

Daily rainfall totals will range from 0.25-0.50 of-an-inch on Monday through Thursday, concentrated mostly over central coastal regions and hilly areas of the Cayo and the Stann Creek Districts. Rainfall totals will increase later on Friday through Monday, with daily totals in the range of 0.75- 1.25 inches.

 

Fig. 1 GOES

Fig. 1 GOES Satellite image valid for 3:00 pm, Monday Jan. 30, 2012, superimposed on surface isobaric map showing moist NE’ly airflow over the NW Caribbean.

 

Fig. 2 NHC 72-hour forecast surface map valid for 6:00 am Thursday, Feb. 2, 2012 showing weak cold front over the NE Gulf of Mexico and a drier and stable easterly airflow prevailing over the western Caribbean.

 

Fig. 3 GFS model, 24 hour rainfall projection, showing accumulations of 0.75-1.00 inch of rainfall over the coast of Belize, as of 6:00 pm, Monday, Feb. 6, 2012, as cold front approach from the NW.

Fig. 3 GFS model, 24 hour rainfall projection, showing accumulations of 0.75-1.00 inch of rainfall over the coast of Belize, as of 6:00 pm, Monday, Feb. 6, 2012, as cold front approach from the NW.

 

Belize Five-day Outlook for Agriculture and Industry…

Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sunday
Jan. 30, 2012 Jan. 31, 2012 Feb. 1, 2012 Feb. 2, 2012 Feb. 3, 2012 Feb. 4, 2012 Feb 5, 2012
Sunny with cloudy spells. Few showers mainly over the central  coast and hillsRainfall: 0.10- 0.25 of-an-inch Sunny with cloudy spells. Few showers mainly over the central  coast and hillsRainfall: 0.25-0.50 of-an-inch  Sunny with cloudy spells. Few showers mainly over the central & southern  coastRainfall: 0.25-0.50 of-an-inch Sunny with cloudy spells. Few showers mainly over the central & southern  coastRainfall: 0.25-0.50 of-an-inch Cloudy. Showery outbreaks over central and southern coastal areas.Rainfall: 0.50-0.75 of-an-inch

 

Mostly cloudy with more outbreaks of showers developing over most districts.Rainfall: 0.75-1.00 inch Mostly cloudy with showers & rain concentrated mainly over central and northern districts.Rainfall: 0.75-1.25  inches

Monday,
Jan. 30, 2012
RFrutos , Agrometeorologist/Hydrologist

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